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KCM Trade——黄金原油行情分析 2024年01月11日 美元指数继续震荡调整,波动率收窄,基本面上市场等待美国CPI落地之后的方向选择,中期降息预期有所降温,等待美联储进一步的表态,日内等待反抽之后的沽空机会为主,金价方面回踩均线支撑,目前依然在多头区间之内,结构上等待企稳之后的低吸机会为主,美原油维持箱体震荡,库存数据依然未能支撑油价向上突破,日内高抛低吸为主 XAUUSD 黄金 黄金维持震荡调整,基本面上美联储降息预期没有继续升温,而美债收益率测试压力之后并未大幅下行,市场对于衰退预期的情绪有所变化,短期等待企稳之后的方向选择,若日线跌破2010,则不排除深度调整的可能性,中期多头结构尚未改变之前,不宜过分看空,日内压力2060附近 USOIL 美原油 美原油维持收敛震荡,目前并未跌破收敛区间,而风偏并未进一步上行,无法支撑油价继续走强,短期维持高抛低吸对待,等待方向选择为主,4小时级别支撑70美元跌破则加速下行,上方反抽压力73美元附近

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