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美联储鸽派措辞发酵,贵金属明显拉涨 昨日黄金继续大幅上冲,外盘comex上涨3%,白银上涨5%,金银比修复,主要原因来自美联储超预期的表示开始考虑降息发酵,并预期24年降息75bp。鲍威尔提出,薪资增幅已经仅是略高于要求,通胀处于回落,不一定需要经济彻底走弱才降息 白天操作策略: 黄金多头:2029-2032附近开多,2040附近止盈 黄金空头:2040-2041附近开空,2040附近止盈 ps:如无法2035则主张空头作为白天核心策略 更多操作内容尽在红通会 重复观点:尽管近期波动市场超前交易的不稳定,但我们并不认为这次破新高后多头机会就不再。原因是,目前数据和信息显示,无论财政端、通胀因素端、需求端、都仍显示通胀回落以及货币转宽路径,这对贵金属形成支撑;此外,地缘端巴以冲突战局再起,也使得溢价持续。除此之外,破新高也意味着,溢价中枢将抬升,此时价格中枢上移,使得前期头寸获得了新的收益,价格也将形成新的安全边际

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