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澳元 澳洲联储明天加息与按兵不动的概率仍相当,市场计价的加息概率只有50%。折中方案可能是加息15个基点,而非常规的25个基点。如果本周美联储官员强烈支持“长期高息”,也可能给其带来阻力。澳元极容易受到本周二澳洲联储利率决议的影响,在可信度遭到质疑的当下,如果澳洲联储没有跟进加息,澳元兑美元可能会测试50日均线0.6395。

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