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KCM Trade --黄金原油行情分析 2023年11月6日 美元指数破位下行,因非农数据不及预期,失业率继续上行,短期不利加息预期,且美债收益率共振下跌,市场认为美联储进入降息周期的可能性在增加,结构上等待美元指数反抽之后的沽空机会为主,金价方面冲高回落,依然是在压力区间盘整,但多头结构不变,因此等待向上突破之后的加速机会为主,日内回踩低吸,美原油方面维持低位盘整,不破80美元整数关,则有望震荡反弹,等待企稳低吸 XAUUSD 黄金 黄金维持高位运行,短期虽然冲高回落,但是依然在多头区间之内,且尚未跌破均线支撑,基本面上非农数据不及预期,支撑金价,失业率上行,短期继续施压加息预期,整体结构偏多金价,若美债收益率继续下行,则金价有望突破密集压力区间之后进入多头加速区间,日内维持低吸对待,下方支撑1980附近,上方压力2000,突破则有望测试2050附近 USOIL 美原油 美原油维持低位震荡,短期并未破位,因非农数据不及预期,美元指数走弱,市场风偏回暖,支撑油价反弹,但是下降趋势线尚未突破之前,维持箱体对待,日内高抛低吸为主,下方多空分水岭80美元,跌破则加速下行,上方压力83美元附近

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