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10月非农数据将新增18万个就业岗位,低于9月份大超预期的33.6万个。针对某汽车制造商的罢工可能是失业率下降的部分原因。预计失业率将稳定在3.8%。 自去年初以来,工资增长呈下降,预计,10月份平均时薪较上年同期增长4%,低于9月份的4.2%。按月计算,他们认为工资增长略有加快。 招聘和工资增长放缓可能是一个迹象,表明经济在经历了炙手可热的夏季后开始放缓,周四指出,劳动力市场降温是可能不需要进一步加息的原因之一。 表示: “我们预计,10月非农就业报告将显示就业增长大幅减速,尽管这种放缓将被工人罢工的影响所夸大。不包括这些工人,就业增长仍将相对强劲。”

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