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利率决议之夜,鲍威尔将提供怎样的指引? 万众瞩目于今晚的利率决议,目前不加息基本上是板上钉钉,倘若加息打了所有人的脸,则表明市场会解读这是最后一次加息,美指会暴跌。但这可能性只有1%,关键看会后鲍威尔的发言,如果放🦅美指上涨,反之下跌,但要注意的是除非鲍威尔直接表明停止加息或者明示下个月继续加息,否则都要看市场情绪,市场容易发生鹰派发言鸽派解读的情况。此外还需要密切关注美联储官员更新的季度利率预测(即点阵图),重点是,这些预测是否继续显示今年将再加息25个基点的观点,以及是否会减少对2024年预计的100个基点降息的预期。
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