昨天美指跌破104.75，最低触及104.4。近期的市场动向主要取决于本周的通胀数据，尤其是明天公布的CPI数据，接下来还有PPI和消费者信心指数。预计在数据前的观望时间内，今天不会有太大的波动。而且还有一个缺口，谨防突然补缺。目前欧洲经济前景黯淡，油价的攀升可能会使欧美通胀率进一步上升，欧元区前景并不明朗，加息与否悬而未决，但大概率的是9月美联储基本上是不会再加息了。
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