7/18（二）
高盛已将美国经济衰退的可能性从此前的25%下调至20%。最近的数据和持续的基本面都表明，通胀将从现在开始迅速下降，而且基本上不会对经济造成影响。今年3 月，高盛将美国经济衰退的可能性提高到35%，并称美联储不会在3月会议上加息，但最终美联储提高了利率，银行危机迅速消退。美元指数在100 附近震荡；非美货币高位回调，澳元兑美元来到0.6810，欧元兑美元回到1.1240 附近，离岸人民币到达7.17。现货黄金反弹到1955 美元附近，现货白银来到24.8 美元附近。原油下行至74.3 美元。
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