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基本面 美联储6月加息概率继续下调,金价企稳反弹。6月5日,COMEX黄金价格盘中直线上拉,报收1978.10美元/盎司,涨幅0.43%。国内SHFE金夜盘震荡走强,报收450.52元/克,涨幅0.31%。 周一晚间,美国5月ISM非制造业指数降至50.3,创2023年新低,此前预期会从51.9上升至52.4;商业活动和订单下滑,物价支付指标创三年新低。数据公布后,10年期美债收益率短线跳水5个基点,对货币政策更敏感的两年期收益率短线跳水逾7个基点,均日内转跌,美元指数也转跌并失守104关口。市场继续下调对6月美联储将加息25个基点的预期,一度从上周的25%降至20%,暂停加息的预期高达80%,黄金价格直线上行。预计本周黄金价格将继续受美元指数影响,关注美国未来公布的经济指标对加息预期的扰动。

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