瑞士信贷：英国央行需要进一步加息以抑制通胀
瑞士信贷表示，由于通胀持续高企和劳动力市场吃紧，英国央行可能在2023年年中之前将利率从目前的3.0%上调至4.5%。要想完全恢复英国的信誉度可能需要英国央行持续收紧货币政策，以控制通胀。如果不能将利率提高到4.5%，通胀可能会持续更长时间，英镑会进一步走软，英国资产的风险溢价会上升，最终导致利率峰值上升，这将加剧经济衰退的严重程度。另外，尽管经济出现衰退，但英国央行2023年不太可能降息，因为通胀应该仍保持在2%的目标之上。
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