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美国10月份整体通胀率可能进一步放缓,从9月份的8.2%降至7.9%,主要原因是基数较高。如若如此,美元指数极有可能下跌,黄金将迎来一定幅度上涨。不过,也有经济学家们表示,市场可能会更关注核心通胀率(不包括波动较大的食品和能源类别),预计核心通胀率仅从6.6%小幅回落至6.5%。由于二手车和服装价格下跌,核心商品通胀可能变为负值,但在住房的推动下,核心服务通胀可能保持非常强劲。情况错综复杂,晚间极有可能出现暴涨暴跌的局面,建议数据发布前减仓或者轻仓,待数据发布后再择机进场。

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