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05.06.2022 每周点评 上周市场较为关注的是美国非农、失业率和平均薪资的数据。  1. 非农数据 - 5月非农增加了39万个工作岗位,超出预期,但比起上月缺少了。这次增加最多工作岗位的是来自休闲和酒店业,可以看见经济正在开始恢复轨道。 - 其次,这或也是高通膨下,人们将商品消费转移到服务消费,从而增加就业来推动经济,以化解经济衰退的担忧。 2. 失业率 - 5月失业率是与上月维持在3.6%,低于预期,但仍然维持共同目标下的4%。 - 失业率已经维持区间好一段时间,也相较起刚面临疫情时的失业率,显然失业率已经回到正常水平,经济仍然走强。 - 比起只注意失业率,每周的失业救济金人数也会提前给出失业率和非农数据的信号。 总结而言,最新的数据并没有任何经济的恶化现象,但也不能完全排除,唯有持续关注数据来去提前做判断。 顺势而为,严设止损,谨慎操作。

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