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镑日长期趋势分析:如图:2021上半年我看到镑日大概在157.00附近回调下跌,实际在158.00位置掉头向下(与我分析位置差100点),在149.00受到支撑,这就是新一轮上涨的起涨点,也是2022年的起涨点。做大趋势的朋友们,也估计看到这个位置了。在149.00-158区域震荡上涨几个月,然后就会破位继续上行,直到涨到上涨通道底部D点,(也是蝴蝶形态的D点),这个位置就是下一轮跌势的起点。即178.75-184.60区域。这个是多个回撤位置的重合区域。回调下跌概率很大。 2022年从基本面来看,全球疫情蔓延,美国,加拿大,英国等很多国家通膨已经创下历史新高,2021年12月份英国首先加息15个百分点,到0.25%。 英镑大涨。2022年英国,美国都有加息的需求,英国如果 能加息4次,加息至1.25%,英镑会大涨,镑日也会大涨,完全支持这一做多观点。个人观点,仅供参考。

Edited 27 Dec 2021, 13:44

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