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智库分析 - 早盘10/19 供应链或更糟,黄金仍有支撑 黄金方面:隔夜黄金惯性小幅下挫,跌幅明显收窄,买盘对黄金支撑力度较大。短期内供应链很难得到较大修复,甚至会变得更糟,在推高通胀的同时也会增加经济的风险性,拥有保值和避险属性的黄金仍有潜在支撑。 技术面:黄金日线收十字星,有抵抗但STOCH已经死叉向下。1小时周期跌幅收窄,目前的多空平衡较为脆弱,短线或形成下跌中继形态。日内大概率有价格低点,但下跌空间有限。建议关注下方1754美元一线的支撑。 原油方面:原油虽然创下近年价格新高,但日内走势也显出疲态,高油价在成就产油国财富的盛宴时,也会威胁世界经济的复苏,进而限制原油需求,美国的态度对油价走势有着重要影响,显然美国已经难以忍受了。 技术面原油日线收带长上影小阴线,但并不能说明走势转弱,均线多头排列正常。1小时周期大概率形成震荡调整形态,短线还有一定的上升空间,然后很可能阶段见顶。建议关注下方81.60美元一线的支撑。

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