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从象上看:美指向下突破筑底,而美指对标的大宗商品、贵金属、石油、有色、比特币等,近期全部进入大顶筑顶阶段,将在7月份左右筑顶完成,从此形成大顶。 从数上看:12年一个反者道之动的小周期完成将进入反向周期。美国急需割韭菜。实体经济与大宗商品大背离,预示通账泡沫即将破裂。 结论:象与数契合,战略做空。预计7月份从大宗商品开始爆跌,形成周期性泡沫破裂的通缩危机。 应对:耐心等待这两个月筑顶完成,战略做空一切资产。非刚需的不可高价接盘房地产。非刚需的房产应尽快抛出。去杠杆,该还的债务还清。屯现金,通缩时现金为王,或者战略做空。下半年即可验证。

Edited 11 May 2021, 00:32

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