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黄金的盘整恐怕还将持续;① 黄金市场继续围绕1740美元/盎司震荡,花旗银行(Citi)认为,黄金市场的盘整恐怕还将维持一段时间。该行表示,今年余下时间里,黄金市场预计在1700至1900美元/盎司区域内,全年均价将在1800美元/盎司。② 今年一季度黄金市场经历了四年多最差季度,大跌约10%,一度跌破1680美元/盎司支撑。③ 花旗表示:“黄金市场面临着不少风险。包括美联储可能在年底开始紧缩,以及短期利率更激进地计入未来两年的加息,美元获得提振等。”该行认为,美国10年期国债收益率的走高对黄金这样的资产也是一大利空。不过随着经济的复苏,通胀可能会是个问题。④ 澳新银行(ANZ)也表示,黄金上行受到债券收益率走高的限制。该行预计今年上半年黄金均价将在1850美元/盎司,到三季度末涨至2000美元/盎司,但到年末跌至1900,明年年中跌至1800美元/盎司

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