2021年欧元兑美元可能走高；汇丰银行表示在过去几年中，欧元兑美元的变动与“其他投资”流动(而非组合投资资金流)的联系更为密切，鉴于美联储已下调政策利率，并在其新的平均通胀目标框架下保持鸽派立场，外汇对冲资金流已变得更加重要，在可预见的未来可能仍将如此，可能是由于对冲成本降低所致；2020年底欧元区经常帐盈馀也小幅改善，主要是因为相比进口更持续性相近，欧元区出口稳定下来,可能有助于解释去年年底欧元的升势，2021年欧元兑美元可能走高，因为美国货币状况依然宽松，风险偏好仍将有更多支撑，若美国短期利率开始出现更大的波动，或长期收益率息差变得更大，美元可能会持续反弹
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