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全球疫情缓解恐仍需时日,金价在年内将先涨后跌;① 现货黄金价格隔夜在美联储主席鲍威尔讲话暂时打消了市场对QE撤除预期的过度顾虑之后反弹,然后,业内投资者当前却已经开始重新意识到,去年年底基于美联储宽松政策前景所给出的2021年金价升至2300美元的预期现在看起来已经是乐观过度,下调金价目标在所难免;② 澳新银行的分析师因此指出,现货金价在年内将呈现先涨后跌局面,一方面隔夜经鲍威尔讲话近一步确认的美联储宽松政策仍将在线前景,以及当前全球疫情依旧肆虐的大背景,仍会在上半年推动金价重新上行,但更长远来看,美国新政府各项财政政策的一一落实,美债收益率的进一步回升,以及全球普及接种疫苗的前景,将渐渐对金价构成更重的阻力,并推动资金更多流向高风险资产资产市场;③ 该行因此预计,现货金价在3月将回升至1950美元,6月进一步升至2100美元的峰值,此后在9月和12月则将缓步回落至2000美元和1900美元

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