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黄金艰难维持反弹势头,尽管美国大规模财政刺激的前景增强了黄金对冲通胀的吸引力,美元指数时隔一日重新反弹,站稳90关口上方,投资者对美元可能伴随美债收益率回调而重启跌势的看法仍持谨慎态度,即将上台执政的拜登将实施大规模刺激政策几乎毋庸置疑。一旦疫情的确显露出消退迹象,这应该会加速经济复苏。因此美元近期回升走势的驱动因素仍未有改变。欧洲央行行长拉加德日内称,疫苗推出的早期阶段很困难,但2021年开局情况比一些人认为的更积极,一些不确定性已经被清除,如英国脱欧、美国大选、疫苗批准等。她的讲话也对金市构成打压。对抗通胀是近期驱动黄金价格走势的主要因素。随着民主党上台,美国积极财政刺激前景向好,在此背景下,美联储继续维持极度宽松的货币政策,似乎没理由积极看跌黄金。

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