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一旦经济恢复正常,美油料涨向50美元;道明证券对2021年的石油市场持乐观态度,美国能源信息署(EIA)报告显示,美国截至12月4日当周EIA原油库存增加1518.9万桶,远超预期的减少103.5万桶,与许多多头在石油输出国组织及其盟友(OPEC+)会议后所期待的情况形成鲜明对比,短期内新冠疫情的肆虐和相关死亡人数的上升很可能会使需求持续疲软,因为部署高效疫苗需要时间,可能导致短期内石油市场疲软和库存增加,在实现强劲和持续的反弹之前,油价将跌破45美元/桶;一旦经济恢复正常,美国原油期货价格将接近50美元/桶;美国政府和世界其他主要经济体将希望提供规模可观的刺激,预计将推高美国和世界各地的需求,与此同时,OPEC+可能以一种方式增加产量,以使目前过剩的库存继续得到释放,而美国页岩油和其他产油国在可预见的未来只能实现温和的供应增长

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