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三大原因显示大宗商品期货价格明年可能走高;① 高盛的分析师指出,全球大宗商品价格以美元计价的价格可能在2021年出现全面飙升,原因有三点:1)由于过去一年全球投资活动受到遏制,一旦实体经济在疫苗的提振下快速复苏,农矿业产能将出现缺口,导致相应的产品面临供不应求;2)各国为了应对疫情冲击将纷纷推出大规模基建投资计划以刺激经济,这将进一步增加原材料商品的需求;3)美国政治危机倒逼美联储强化宽松政策的前景,将令美元指数进一步承压走低,从而令美元计价的商品价格水涨船高;② 在此状况下,原油、黄金、基本金属矿产以及农产品价格在2021年都会出现走高,这将带动商品系货币如澳元和加元领涨汇市,同时,俄罗斯卢布和南非兰特等依赖于商品市场定价的新兴市场货币也会出现走高

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