欧洲疫情风险程度高于美国政局，年底前仍偏向看空欧元；① 摩根大通分析师指出，由于欧元区经济活动近期再度陷入部分或全面封锁困境，预计整个区域四季度经济增长前景将陷于坎坷，这意味着年底之前欧元汇价走势仍然整体看空，虽然美国政局风险限制了美元指数涨幅，但欧洲市场的风险却显得更加直接和迫切；② 分析师指出，如果此后疫苗研发应用普及过程一帆风顺，疫情相关风险将大幅消除，这将有助于欧系货币恢复元气，但这至少也要到2021年初才会实现。所以，即使美国大选结果至今仍未彻底揭晓，美国经济面临来自身的不确定性，但这却也并不是激进做空美元做多非美货币的理由
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