基本面
1、上上周欧银决议，提及经济下行风险。三季度以来，欧元区经济复苏状况下行，抗疫债券的利好预期已基本兑现，现在市场焦点回归到经济本身。从现阶段来看，进入四季度之初，美国的经济扩张速度要快于欧元区，因此欧元整体属于震荡偏下行。
2、CFTC持仓报告：自9月22日当周以来，欧元净仓位从190822手连续六周下降，降至140349手。意味着欧元的多头仓位正在逐步解除，欧元整体并无强劲多头单边出现。
图表分析
11月10日
日图显示，过去两个月以来，欧元处于宽幅震荡格局，上方阻力处于1.1880~1.1920区域，下方支撑处于1.1600~1.1620区域。周一（11.09）疫苗传出重大利好，欧元在风险情绪推推动下，连续两次冲击1.1900~1.1920区域，没有录的突破，反而日图录得饱和阴柱，收盘低于1.1830区域，意味着上周迎来的强势上涨可能结束，欧元横盘做顶的风险在增加。
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