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看涨纽元兑美元;西太平洋银行表示看涨纽元兑美元,截至目前汇价对工党在新西兰大选中取得压倒性胜利的反应非常温和,可能是因为选前民调显示工党遥遥领先全国,意味着工党的轻松胜利已经计入了纽元的走势中,此外工党没有就任何重大的新政策进行竞选活动;未来一年纽元可能会进一步温和上涨,中期前景依然积极,可能升向数月区间顶部0.6800,中期支持因素包括高企的全球风险情绪,美元走弱趋势和纽元经济表现优异,中期内主要的负面因素是新西兰联储的鸽派立场,但新西兰与美国国债收益率息差影响今年有所减弱

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