保持看涨加元，风险情绪将为主要驱动力；① 法国农业信贷银行表示保持看涨加元，并指出风险情绪继续成为加元上涨的推动力；② 加元最近受到风险情绪提升的良好支撑，鉴于本周重磅数据不多，我们预期加元将保持受到全球总体风险情绪——尤其是商品价格——之类的外部因素推动；③ 然而，仍需注意的是，加元面临更多的仓位相关的上行风险。根据我们的数据，仓位水平已回归平衡领域，这预示着要触发更多可持续上行，需要新的买盘兴趣；④ 而这在美国政治风险保持高涨的情况下看来不太可能。从这一角度上来看，我们相信加元近期的前景将是在一定范围内交易。但从更广泛的前景来看，我们保持看涨加元
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