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黄金ETF对金价的影响正变得越来越大,甚至成为了主要影响因素;① 投资者们应该关注黄金ETF持有量的变化。虽然那些往往交易期货的机构投资者们仍然持有大量未平仓合约,但散户投资者们已经变得越来越重要了;② 期金市场和黄金ETF市场之间的差别会造成金价分歧。整个夏季里GLD的表现数次比基本面本身的表现更好,出现了很大的流入量,不过近期已经回到了正常水平;③ 世界黄金协会(WGC)数据显示,今年上半年全球黄金投资需求创下记录,大涨646吨。Widmer指出,过去四年全球黄金ETF的总持有量近乎翻番。此外,伦敦金银市场协会(LBMA)金库中的黄金有近40%是属于黄金ETF的。在今年四月,美国银行上调金价预期,认为未来18个月里金价能涨至3000美元/盎司。

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