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三大利空恐致英镑进一步走疲;汇丰银行认为外部挑战,艰难的经济增长道路和有限的财政灵活性都意味着英镑将下跌,英国与欧盟签署自由贸易协定的窗口迅速关闭,此外英国国内的政治形势也越来越令人担忧,政府也承认内部市场法案违反了国际法,违背了之前签署的脱欧协议,导致英镑来回震荡;然而对英镑而言,真正的问题是,这些事件是增加了还是减少了英国与欧盟达成自由贸易协定的可能性,来自欧盟的气氛表明事情正变得越来越困难,任何使自由贸易协定达成概率降低的事情都将给英镑带来压力,如果无协议脱欧是最有可能的结果,那么英镑的下跌就不会是有限和具体的,在这种情况下,英镑兑美元将大幅走低,但即使能达成协议,未来英国与欧盟之间的贸易和投资壁垒仍将比现在更大

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好的👌🏻

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