据CME“美联储观察”：美联储10月降息25个基点至1.50%-1.75%的概率为76.4%，维持当前利率的概率为23.6%；到12月降息25个基点至1.50%-1.75%的概率为47.6%，降息50个基点的概率为41.7%，维持当前利率的概率为10.7%。
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