原油做多实在是太急了。原因有几：1.OPEC本身并不团结，且有减产不守约的先例。
2.作为重要的出口国俄罗斯，貌似对减产没什么兴趣。 3.川普并不希望油价涨 4.美国现在作为最大的原油出口国，显然市场份额是很看重的 5.散户对于50的心理价位期待过高。 综上，油价短期不会止跌。美国目前的炼油成本在40-50，且对市场的参与度远超上次减产。所以我认为40是真正的底。
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