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欧元/美元 美国非农差于预期未能阻挡美元升势,美元兑主要货币连续第三周上涨,欧元兑美元跌至1.1908,触及年内新低。美国4月非农就业人口增加16.4万,低于预期19.2万,平均每小时工资月率和年率分别增长0.1%和2.6%。不过失业率跌至2000年以来最低3.9%。北美时段收盘前美元因结利盘回落,但仍接近数月高位。 本周美元将面临风险情绪的挑战,周末消息显示中美贸易战受到关注。美国代表团在亚洲国家要求到2020年削减美国-中国贸易赤字2000亿美元,中国官员称“不公平”。谈判一定很艰难且时间长久。周一将公布欧美数据。 技术上,汇价收盘于1.1961,连跌三周。虽然指标超卖,但依然看跌。日图技术指标未能修正极度超卖后转跌,汇价加速下跌破200日均线,为一年以来首次跌破该均线。20日均线大幅下行,位于100日均线下方,远高于现价上方。4小时图20SMA抑制上行。动能指标位于负区域,表明风险偏下行,不过短期不排除上修可能。 支撑位:1.1940 1.1910 1.1880 阻力位:1.2000 1.2030 1.2055

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