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新兴经济体的债务隐藏在哪里呢?想找出这些债务并不容易。Carmen Reinhart教授解释称,这是因为在过去十年,中国和其他新兴经济体之间的金融交易非常不透明的缘故。 在轰轰烈烈的基建繁荣潮时期,中国为其他新兴市场国家的矿业、能源等大型基建项目提供融资。这些债务基本以美元计价,因此也就注定要承受汇率变动风险,在美联储可能加息之际,新兴经济体的资产负债表因此显得更加脆弱。 关键在于,这些借贷的规模有很大一部分是未知的,因为很多贷款出自中国的政策性银行,它们并不进入国际清算银行的数据统计系统。此外,这些借款鲜少采用在国际资本市场发行债券等金融证券的形式,因此也不会出现在世界银行的统计表当中。

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