技术分析 – USDJPY升至34年新高
- USDJPY创下1990年4月以来的最高点
- 动量指标显示极端超买状态
- 日本当局目前似乎还不愿干预
3月初USDJPY在200日移动平均线（SMA）获得支撑后一直稳步上涨。周四，该货币对更创下了34年来的新高，在日本当局估计会干预的区间内继续上升。
若多头持续走强，汇价或会突破至新的多年高点，接着挑战下行趋势的斐波那契回调线138.2%位置的价格156.35（对应图中151.90-140.24）。进一步上涨，或会在斐波那契161.8%位置的价格159.10遇阻。突破此处，或挑战1990年4月高点160.40。
反之，若汇价反转下跌，斐波那契123.6%位置的价格154.63或可即时提供支撑。继续下跌，或测试2023年11月高点151.89。若跌破此处，汇价或在4月支撑位150.76处止跌。
简而言之，USDJPY已连续创下多年最高点。不过，技术层面显示，汇价或已过度上涨。
Reprinted from XM，the copyright all reserved by the original author.
Edited 25 Apr 2024, 22:13
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