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技术分析 – EURUSD下跌后区间震荡

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技术分析 – EURUSD下跌后区间震荡

  • EURUSD跌至五个月新低,随后挽回部分损失
  • 震荡指标表明下行风险犹存

410日通胀报告超出预期后,EURUSD遭大幅抛售并跌破2024年低点1.0693。尽管该货币对设法在五个月低点1.0600处企稳,但迄今为止未能实现强劲复苏。

若下行压力持续存在,则该货币对或将重新触及近期五个月低点1.0600。若成功跌破此处,汇价可能测试10-11月低点1.0516。继续下行,9月低点1.0487可能提供支撑。

反之,若汇价走高,则2024年关键性支撑区间的1.0693和前期高点1.0722可能初步形成阻力。若成功突破此处,多头可能测试前期高点1.0795,此处曾在2024年全年作为支撑位和阻力位。继续上行,汇价有望升至9月高点1.0884。

简而言之,EURUSD在过去几个交易日一直处于区间震荡,但动量指标表明空头仍走强。同时,一旦50日和200日移动平均线(SMA)完成死亡交叉,可能引发新一轮跌势。

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