技术分析 – 黄金处于下行回调模式
- 黄金在看涨反弹后形成看跌三角形
- MACD和RSI显示疲软
金价在3月8日反弹至历史新高2,195后，H4图显示价格形成看跌三角形。目前正在进行看跌回调，技术震荡指标显示势头疲软。异同移动平均线（MACD）在零线下方区间震荡，而相对强弱指数（RSI）则在50中立水平下方疲软。
若价格在前期低点2,163处遇到阻力，则可能跌至斐波那契回调线23.6%位置的价格2,145（对应图中1,984-2,195），届时前期低点2,123或将缓解抛售压力。继续下行，价格可能触及斐波那契38.2%位置的价格2,114。一旦空头跌破2,100心理关口，看跌趋势可能加速跌至斐波那契50.0%位置的价格2,089。
若价格上涨，则有望突破20和50日移动平均线（SMA）以及近期下行趋势线，届时交易员需密切关注2,180-2,185窄幅区间，继而价格可能在历史高点2,195附近停涨。
综上所述，尽管市场情绪下跌，但大盘前景依然利好。一旦价格反弹并突破前期高点2,163，或将重燃买盘情绪。
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