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技术分析 – USDJPY在近三个月高点区间震荡

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技术分析 – USDJPY在近三个月高点区间震荡

  • 过去几个交易日,USDJPY维持区间震荡
  • 该货币对接近2023年高点
  • 动量指标疲软,但仍保持看涨

USDJPY2023年底以来一直处于稳定上升趋势,从11-12月的强劲下跌趋势中形成V型复苏。同时,在过去几个交易日中,该货币对在2024年高点150.87附近区间震荡,略低于202210月所创33年高点151.94

若看涨压力持续存在,汇价可能重新触及近期三个月高点150.87。若成功突破此处,多头或将测试2023年高点151.90,此处略低于33年高点151.94。继续上行,汇价可能在斐波那契回调线123.6%位置的价格154.64(对应图中151.90-140.24)处停涨。

反之,若转为看跌,汇价可能跌至斐波那契78.6%位置的价格148.40。若成功突破此处,汇价或将触及斐波那契61.8%位置的价格147.44。继续下行,该货币对可能跌至曾在2月初提供支撑的斐波那契50.0%位置的价格146.06。

综上所述,由于看涨势头疲软,USDJPY2024年高点附近区间震荡。若该货币对成功突破此处,则汇价有望再次触及33年高点151.94

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