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技术分析 – WTI测试斐波那契回调线61.8%

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技术分析 – WTI测试斐波那契回调线61.8%

  • WTI原油期货触及两个月高点后回落
  • 跌破200日SMA,但斐波那契回调线61.8%位置提供支撑
  • 动量指标疲软但仍维持看涨

WTI原油期货(3月交割)自去年12月低点68.00反弹,并突破50日和200日移动平均线(SMA)。不过,涨势在斐波那契回调线50.0%位置(对应图中64.20-95.02)下方遇阻,随后斐波那契61.8%位置则遏止了进一步回调。

若看跌压力持续,并且价格跌破75.97,11月低点72.40或可即时提供支撑。跌破此处,或测试斐波那契78.6%位置的价格70.80。进一步下跌,或下探66.95-68.00支撑区间,该区间包括6月低点和近期六个月低点。

反之,若油价上涨并突破200日移动平均线(SMA),斐波那契50.0%位置的价格79.61或形成阻力。继续上涨,或在斐波那契38.2%位置的价格83.25遇阻。突破此处,或上探斐波那契23.6%位置的价格87.75。

简而言之,WTI原油期货在略低于80.00心理关口遇阻后反转下行,但在斐波那契回调线61.8%位置获得强劲支撑。若油价跌破此处,近期回调或会走强。

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