技术分析 – WTI测试下降趋势线
- WTI期货尝试突破关键趋势线
- 但涨势不断遇阻
- 动量指标显示谨慎看涨基调
WTI原油期货（2月交割）自触及10月高点89.85后就一直回落，连续跌破几个支撑区间。尽管在过去几个交易日尝试挽回部分损失，但自9月以来一系列较低高点形成的下降趋势线一直成为强劲阻力。
若油价反弹突破趋势线，或会在斐波那契回调线61.8%位置的价格75.97（对应图中64.20-95.02）遇阻。突破此处，多头或挑战斐波那契回调线50.0%位置的价格79.61。继续上行，斐波那契回调线38.2%位置的价格83.25或成为阻力。
反之，若油价下跌，斐波那契回调线78.6%位置的价格70.80或可即时提供支撑。跌破此处，或测试67.00-68.00的支撑区间，该区间包括2023年6月低点和近期六个月低点。进一步下跌，或会在2023年低点64.20处止跌。
简而言之，WTI原油期货一直维持在一个中期下行模式，无法实现强劲反弹。然而，若成功突破75.97，或有望形成趋势反转。
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