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技术分析 – NZDUSD创五个月新高,倾向超买

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技术分析 – NZDUSD创五个月新高,倾向超买

  • NZDUSD自2023年低点稳步复苏
  • 但动量指标警示存在超买风险
  • 是否会出现回调?

NZDUSD自触及2023年低点0.5772后一直处于急剧上升的趋势,并连续创下新高和形成了V形复苏模式。然而,由于相对强弱指数(RSI)已在其超买区间内超过一周,显示近期过度上涨。

若汇价持续上涨,多头或挑战下行趋势斐波那契回调线78.6%位置价格0.6373(对应图中0.6536-0.5772)。突破该关键区域,该货币对或上探2022年12月阻力位的0.6441。继续上行,或在2023年峰值0.6536峰值遇阻。

反之,若价格下跌,斐波那契61.8%位置的价格0.6244可即时提供支撑。跌破此处,焦点将转向斐波那契50.0%位置的价格0.6154。继续下行,或测试斐波那契38.2%位置的价格0.6064。

综上所述,周三,NZDUSD创下五个月新高,但其涨势过度扩张。该货币对能否延续看涨结构或修正还有待观察。

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