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NZD/USD could revisit four-month highs, trades near 0.6170

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  • NZD/USD has marked a three-month high at 1.2733 on Wednesday.
  • Greenback experienced strength from stronger GDP Annualized data.
  • Traders price in a cumulative 100 bps of rate cuts by the Fed in 2024.
  • Kiwi Building Permits rose significantly at 8.7% from the previous decline of 4.6%.

NZD/USD extends its gains for the sixth successive day, trading higher around 0.6170 during the early European session on Thursday. The NZD/USD pair reached near four-month highs on Wednesday on subdued US Dollar (USD). However, the Greenback experienced strength from upbeat Gross Domestic Product Annualized data, which indicated a growth of 5.2%, surpassing the anticipated increase of 5.0% in Q3.

Additionally, the lowered US bond yields over the past three sessions are attributed to the prevailing sentiment that the Federal Reserve (Fed) might conclude its interest rate hikes. Additionally, the markets are now factoring in a cumulative 100 basis points (bps) of rate cuts by the Fed in 2024.

The US Dollar Index (DXY) hovers around 102.80, showing indecision possibly influenced by mixed remarks from Federal Reserve (Fed) members. Cleveland Federal Reserve (Fed) President Loretta Mester emphasized that any decision for additional interest rate hikes would depend on data-driven considerations. In contrast, Fed Governor Christopher Waller has suggested a more accommodative approach by not insisting on maintaining high-interest rates.

On the Kiwi side, on Thursday, seasonally adjusted Building Permits for October showed monthly ratings increased significantly to 8.7% from a 4.6% decline previously.

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) remains supported by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's (RBNZ) hawkish stance. Despite keeping the cash rate unchanged at 5.5%, the central bank signaled the need for sustained restrictive measures to address inflation. RBNZ Governor Adrian Orr emphasized the upside risk to inflation and mentioned that rate hikes were discussed during the meeting.

Investors are expected to watch the US Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending on November 24 and the Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Price Index data on Thursday. New Zealand’s ANZ Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence will be released on Friday.

NZD/USD: more levels to watch

Overview
Today last price 0.6171
Today Daily Change 0.0019
Today Daily Change % 0.31
Today daily open 0.6152
Trends
Daily SMA20 0.6
Daily SMA50 0.5946
Daily SMA100 0.599
Daily SMA200 0.609
Levels
Previous Daily High 0.6208
Previous Daily Low 0.613
Previous Weekly High 0.6092
Previous Weekly Low 0.5978
Previous Monthly High 0.6056
Previous Monthly Low 0.5772
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.6178
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.616
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.6119
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.6085
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.604
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.6197
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.6242
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.6275
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