技术分析 – WTI在200日SMA遇阻
- WTI原油期货跌至四个月低点后尝试反弹
- 反弹在200日SMA遇阻
- 动量指标显示看跌
WTI原油期货（1月交割）自创下10月高点89.85后就一直回落，强劲跌破历史低点。上周，油价跌至7月以来的最低水平，随后挽回部分损失，但却在200日移动平均线（SMA）遇阻。
若再次无法突破200日移动平均线（SMA）并且价格反转下跌，斐波那契61.8%位置的价格75.97（对应图中64.20-95.02）或可即时提供支撑。跌破此处，或测试近期四个月的低点72.40。继续下行，斐波那契78.6%位置的价格70.80或提供支撑。
反之，若油价持续短期反弹，或挑战斐波那契50.0%位置的价格79.61。突破此处，斐波那契38.2%位置的价格83.25或形成阻力。继续上行，或挑战斐波那契23.6%位置的价格87.75。
简而言之，WTI原油期货已连续创下新低，目前仍面临下行压力。然而，若能突破200日移动平均线（SMA），短期前景有望反转看涨。
Reprinted from XM，the copyright all reserved by the original author.
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