技术分析 – AUDUSD自三个月高点回落
- AUDUSD周三触及三个月新高0.6541
- 但很快回吐部分涨幅，暗示复苏之路漫长
- 动量指标与价格走势出现背离
7月中旬AUDUSD出现双顶形态后，一直处强劲下跌趋势并连续再创数月低点。尽管汇价自一年低点0.6271反弹后飙升，其动量指标也倾向上行，但上涨似乎已出现疲软。
若近期的跌势持续，5月低点0.6457或即时提供支撑。跌破此处，或分别测试8月-9月支撑位0.6363和11月低点0.6337。继续下行，该货币对或重新触及一年低点0.6271。
反之，若汇价上涨，或挑战11月阻力位0.6521，此处也曾是8月和9月强劲阻力位。突破此处，最近三个月高点0.6541或形成阻力。继续上行，或挑战与200日移动平均线（SMA）重叠的7月支撑位0.6594。
简而言之，由于技术信号出现背离，AUDUSD的反弹呈现疲软。该货币对必须突破200日移动平均线，多头才能重拾信心。
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