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AUD/USD nears key support as Fed rate hike speculations turn sentiment sour

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  • AUD/USD takes a hit, dropping 0.40% and struggling to hold the 0.6500 level as Federal Reserve officials hint at no end to rate hikes.
  • U.S. Treasury yields fall, yet the Dollar rebounds from two-month lows, signaling a cautious market as traders eye Fed Chair Powell's upcoming speech.
  • Despite RBA's rate hik and hawkish outlook, the Aussie Dollar fails to rally, with the market anticipating the end of RBA's tightening cycle ahead of the SoMP release.

The AUD/USD continues to drop further toward the 50-day moving average (DMA) after failing to crack the 0.6500 figure on Tuesday, which exacerbated the pair´s drop, as it trades at 0.6410, losses 0.40%, past the mid-North American session.

Australian Dollar retreats to 0.6410, flirting with the 50-day moving average amid hawkish Fed rhetoric and RBA's rate hike

Risk appetite is taking its toll following Federal Reserve’s officials' remarks, pushing back against the idea of cutting interest rates, led by Minnesota Fed President Neil Kashkari, who questioned whether the Fed had raised rates enough due to the economy’s resilience while adding that an uptick in inflation would trigger another rate hike by the Fed. Some of his comments were echoed by Michelle Bowman, who said further rate hikes are needed.

Against this backdrop, US Treasury bond yields continued to drop, while the Greenback enjoyed a bounce from two-month lows of 104.84 to 105.51 in the last three days of trading.

On the Australian front, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) lifted rates 25 bps, and despite delivering a hawkish statement, as they assume inflation would likely remain high for a longer period, market participants estimate the RBA ended its tightening cycle.

After the RBA’s meeting, the AUD/USD has been on the defensive, falling more than 1.45%, erasing close to a 100-pips of the gains accumulated last week.

Given the fundamental backdrop, AUD/USD traders would look out for clues on the Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's speech on Thursday. On the Aussie’s front, the RBA would reveal its Statement of Monetary Policy (SoMP) after Powell’s remarks.

AUD/USD Technical Levels

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price 0.641
Today Daily Change -0.0023
Today Daily Change % -0.36
Today daily open 0.6433
Trends
Daily SMA20 0.6367
Daily SMA50 0.6394
Daily SMA100 0.6508
Daily SMA200 0.6616
Levels
Previous Daily High 0.6502
Previous Daily Low 0.6404
Previous Weekly High 0.6518
Previous Weekly Low 0.6315
Previous Monthly High 0.6445
Previous Monthly Low 0.627
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.6441
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.6465
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.639
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.6348
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.6292
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.6489
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.6544
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.6587
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