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EUR/JPY prints a fresh 15-year high near 161.00 on easy BoJ policy and weak Eurozone GDP

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  • EUR/JPY registers a fresh 15-year at 161.00 as Eurozone GDP contracts and inflation softened in October.
  • The Eurozone economy contracted by 0.1% in Q3 against a stagnant performance.
  • The BoJ maintained a dovish stance but widened bond yields.

The EUR/JPY pair capitalizes on the expansionary monetary policy stance of the Bank of Japan (BoJ) and the Eurozone data. The cross extended gains to near 161.00 after the Eurostat reported that the preliminary Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) for October softened more than expected.

Monthly headline inflation grew nominally by 0.1% against 0.3% growth in September. The annual headline HICP softened significantly to 2.9% against expectations of 3.1% and the former release of 4.3%. The energy prices in the trading bloc softened by more than 11%, compared with a 4.6% decline in September.

The monthly core HICP that doesn’t include food and energy prices grew at a steady pace of 0.2%. Annually, the core HICP dropped 4.2% YoY in October, compared with September’s 4.5% uptick. The market consensus was for 4.2% acceleration.

On the GDP front, the Eurozone economy registered a de-growth of 0.1% in the July-September quarter against 0.1% growth in the Q2 of 2023. Investors forecasted a stagnant performance amid a deteriorating demand environment due to the inability of the economy to absorb the consequences of higher interest rates by the European Central Bank (ECB).

The Japanese Yen witnessed a sharp fall as the Bank of Japan (BoJ) kept interest rates unchanged negatively at 0.1%. However, the BoJ tweaked its Yield Curve Control (YCC) by redefining 1.0% as an "upper bound" in order to provide more room for flexibility. BoJ Ueda commented that an improvement in the YCC flexibility was appropriate. The BoJ is expected to keep monetary policy easy for longer to ensure inflation above 2% should be supported by decent wage growth.

EUR/JPY

Overview
Today last price 160.69
Today Daily Change 2.55
Today Daily Change % 1.61
Today daily open 158.14
Trends
Daily SMA20 157.94
Daily SMA50 157.92
Daily SMA100 157.17
Daily SMA200 151.3
Levels
Previous Daily High 158.93
Previous Daily Low 157.7
Previous Weekly High 159.92
Previous Weekly Low 157.88
Previous Monthly High 158.66
Previous Monthly Low 156.58
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 158.46
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 158.17
Daily Pivot Point S1 157.58
Daily Pivot Point S2 157.03
Daily Pivot Point S3 156.36
Daily Pivot Point R1 158.82
Daily Pivot Point R2 159.49
Daily Pivot Point R3 160.04
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