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技术分析 – 英国央行宣布决策后,GBPJPY挽回部分损失

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技术分析 – 英国央行宣布决策后,GBPJPY挽回部分损失

  • 英国央行意外决定维持利率不变后,GBPJPY跌破50日SMA
  • 日本央行维持政策不变后日元出现反弹,但仍处小幅下行趋势
  • 短期回调是否会持续?

自今年年初以来,GBPJPY一直处长期上升趋势,8月22日触及八年高点186.75。然而,随后该货币对一直经历下行回调,动量指标显示近期或将继续下跌。

若抛售情绪持续,7月低点179.45可能初步提供支撑。若成功突破此处,汇价或将跌至7月低点172.29。继续下行,或将可能触及5月低点172.31。

反之,若汇价回升并重新回归50日移动平均线(SMA),多头或将测试7月高点184.00。若成功突破此处,该货币对可能再次测试八年高点186.75。继续上行,汇价或将升至多年来新高,届时190.00心理关口可能抑制进一步上行尝试。

简而言之,GBPJPY一直经历强劲回调,英国央行意外宣布鸽派立场后,该货币对走强。然而,由于汇价维持在布林带下方波动,暗示该货币对已触及超卖水平,因此交易员不应排除反弹可能性。

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