Pratinjau ECB: Potensi Rebound ECB Jika ada Kenaikan Suku Bunga Lainnya Mungkin Terbatas – OCBC
Fokus utamanya adalah pada pertemuan ECB hari ini. Para ekonom di OCBC Bank membahas bagaimana reaksi EUR terhadap Keputusan Kebijakan Moneter.
Diprakirakan Terjadi Volatilitas di Seputar Keputusan ECB
Kami memprakirakan kenaikan suku bunga 25 bp karena inflasi inti tetap persisten. Namun karena kekhawatiran terhadap pertumbuhan di UE semakin menonjol, kami akan berhati-hati terhadap tingkat potensi rebound EUR.
Kami juga akan mencermati komunikasi ECB dan prakiraan ekonomi kuartalannya, di mana pertumbuhan diprakirakan akan diturunkan namun inflasi mungkin akan direvisi lebih tinggi untuk 2024.
Resistance di level-level 1,0780, 1,0830 (MA 200-hari, retracement fibo 23,6% dari tertinggi Juli ke terendah September) dan 1,0900 (MA 100-hari).
Support utama di level-level 1,0700/1,0720 sebelum level-level 1,0635/1,0650.
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