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NZD/USD Price Analysis: 50-day EMA test sellers as RBNZ’s Orr refrains from dovish talk

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  • NZD/USD consolidates RBNZ-led losses near one-month low.
  • Sellers are in command but catching a breather following four-day losing streak.
  • Bulls will have to cross 0.6700 to regain the market’s confidence.

NZD/USD extends the post-RBNZ pullback while taking rounds to 0.6550, intraday low of 0.6524, amid early Wednesday. While the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s (RBNZ) expansion of the Large Scale Asset Purchases (LSAP) to New Zealand dollar 100 billion dragged the quote to the monthly low, the Governor’s modest statements licked wounds afterward.

Read: RBNZ’s Orr: NZ dollar appreciation has moderated returns for exporters

On a technical basis, the break of a three-month-old support line joins downbeat conditions of MACD and RSI to favor the sellers. However, the 50-day EMA level of 0.6518 offers immediate rest to the bears.

During the pair’s extended south-run below 50-day EMA, the pair may take a halt around 0.6500 before visiting the 0.6400 round-figures comprising 200-day EMA.

Meanwhile, the support-turned-resistance trend line stretched from March 19, at 0.6600 now, restricts the pair’s immediate upside ahead of a two-week-long falling resistance line near 0.6665 and July 31 top surrounding 0.6715.

NZD/USD daily chart

NZD/USD Price Analysis: 50-day EMA test sellers as RBNZ’s Orr refrains from dovish talk

Trend: Bearish

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price 0.6553
Today Daily Change -25 pips
Today Daily Change % -0.38%
Today daily open 0.6578
Trends
Daily SMA20 0.6625
Daily SMA50 0.6542
Daily SMA100 0.6297
Daily SMA200 0.6365
Levels
Previous Daily High 0.6628
Previous Daily Low 0.6571
Previous Weekly High 0.6691
Previous Weekly Low 0.6575
Previous Monthly High 0.6716
Previous Monthly Low 0.644
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.6593
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.6606
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.6557
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.6535
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.65
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.6614
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.6649
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.6671

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If that is the case then should prepare to take short on the pair right?
NZ's central bank has indicated their desire for weaker FX rates, which can be reflected in future monetary policies..

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