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WTI Price Analysis: Fades upside momentum beyond $40.00

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  • WTI stays pressured after rising to two-week top the previous day.
  • Immediate falling trend line, bearish MACD suggests further weakness.
  • An upward sloping trend line from June 15 offers immediate support.
  • Bulls will have to cross June month top to aim for February high.

WTI takes rounds to $40.50/40 as the Tokyo session opens for Wednesday. The energy benchmark repeated failures to cross $41.00 so far during the current week. In its latest attempt on Tuesday, the quote reversed from $40.99.

Considering the commodity’s inability to stay strong beyond $40.00, coupled with the bearish MACD signals, the sellers are likely to wait for an entry. As a result, a three-week-old support line, at $39.70, becomes the key to watch.

If at all the buyers get defeated with a price level below $39.70, June 24 top near $39.40 and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of June 15-23 rise, around $37.30, will return to the charts.

On the contrary, a clear break above the immediate resistance line, at $40.96 now, will need a sustained cross past-June month high of $41.65 to challenge February month low surrounding $44.00.

WTI four-hour chart

WTI Price Analysis: Fades upside momentum beyond $40.00

Trend: Pullback expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price 40.44
Today Daily Change -0.09
Today Daily Change % -0.22%
Today daily open 40.53
Trends
Daily SMA20 39.08
Daily SMA50 33.97
Daily SMA100 33.16
Daily SMA200 44.81
Levels
Previous Daily High 40.99
Previous Daily Low 39.97
Previous Weekly High 40.8
Previous Weekly Low 37.6
Previous Monthly High 41.65
Previous Monthly Low 34.45
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 40.36
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 40.6
Daily Pivot Point S1 40.01
Daily Pivot Point S2 39.48
Daily Pivot Point S3 38.99
Daily Pivot Point R1 41.03
Daily Pivot Point R2 41.52
Daily Pivot Point R3 42.05

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On a bigger time-frame it show bullish, while on smaller time-frame it is more to bearish.. we never know when it will make the reversal...as long as it follow the trend it is safe i guess

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