Note

WTI drops to one-week low, around $22.00, on demand-supply concerns

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  • WTI registers three-day losing streak, tests the lowest in a week.
  • Coronavirus fears weigh on the demand outlook, supply remains high.
  • Energy traders pay a little heed to geopolitical concerns relating to Saudi Arabia and North Korea.

With the demand-supply matrix weighing on the energy benchmark, WTI refreshes one week low to $21.68, currently near $22.05, amid the initial Asian session on Monday. While demand concerns due to the coronavirus (COVID-19) have already been weighing on the black gold, signals suggesting an increase in supplies seem to also have dragged the quote off-late.

Bloomberg released news over the weekend that the Plains All American Pipeline asked suppliers to scale back production. The news also mentioned that Plains and Enterprise Products Partners is requiring customers to prove they have a buyer or place to offload the crude they are shipping.

In a separate piece, Bloomberg also raised the rift amid the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) members. The update, while relying on the sources, suggested that the Presidency Algeria urged convening a panel to consider assessing market conditions and falling prices but did not get enough backing to go ahead. It was also mentioned that Saudi Arabia opposed the move. It should also be noted that Saudi Arabia earlier turned down rumors that relate to the talks with Russia on minimizing the output.

Elsewhere, the calls of missile traces in Saudi Arabian capital and North Korea’s recent missile tests failed to gain the major attention as the virus fears are stronger enough to weigh on the global economy and drag the energy demand. In its latest piece, China’s Caixin raised worries relating to the travel and service freeze while citing downbeat export demand.

Market’s risk-tone also remains heavy with the US stock futures down nearly 2.0% after US President Donald Trump extends the social distancing guidelines through April 30.

Oil traders may continue to witness further downside amid expectations of demand depletion. Alternatively, the market-players may await supply restrictions for fresh buying.

Technical analysis

The buyers need to conquer March 11 top near $36.65 to renew market sentiment. Until then, odds signaling the oil benchmark’s drop below $20.00 remain on the cards.

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price 22
Today Daily Change -1.26
Today Daily Change % -5.42%
Today daily open 23.26
Trends
Daily SMA20 32.2
Daily SMA50 44.15
Daily SMA100 51.58
Daily SMA200 53.82
Levels
Previous Daily High 24.56
Previous Daily Low 22.33
Previous Weekly High 25.85
Previous Weekly Low 21.19
Previous Monthly High 54.69
Previous Monthly Low 43.95
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 23.18
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 23.71
Daily Pivot Point S1 22.21
Daily Pivot Point S2 21.16
Daily Pivot Point S3 19.98
Daily Pivot Point R1 24.43
Daily Pivot Point R2 25.61
Daily Pivot Point R3 26.66

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