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CIBC:美元/加元近期存在下探1.28风险 但之后跌幅或将受限

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FX168财经报社(香港)讯 加拿大帝国商业银行(CIBC)撰文称,美元/加元近期存在下探1.28一线的风险,但加元很难迎来进一步的大幅涨势。

CIBC分析师表示:“虽然近期走势强劲,但加元对于加拿大经济数据意外指数触及历史高位的反应却不及预期。这并不意味着进一步快速升值即将到来。意外指数高涨主要是受到就业报告和失业率的影响。但加拿大就业市场的强劲表现并没有体现在消费支出或是GDP增长层面。实际上,2019年加拿大GDP预期仍在下降。”

该行分析师补充道:“综上所述,美元/加元未来数月内恐将跌至1.28,但我们认为加拿大经济增速也在放缓,这令加元进入2020年后还将走弱。”

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