4月15日周三早盘，美原油现报91.15美元/桶，日内大概率测试90美元关口。周二国际油价大幅下挫，美原油暴跌7.87%至91.20美元/桶，布伦特原油跌4.6%至94.79美元/桶。
本轮油价回调主因中东局势缓和预期升温，市场对美伊、美以重启谈判抱有期待，霍尔木兹海峡供应中断风险显著降温，此前地缘冲突推升的避险溢价持续回落。联合国秘书长与巴基斯坦副总理会晤后释放谈判重启信号，进一步提振市场乐观情绪。
技术面来看，日线级别油价中期上行趋势未改，但MACD高位死叉，多头动能衰减；短线1小时周期持续下行创出新低，均线空头排列，空头力量占优，早盘一度下探87美元。
综合判断，日内油价延续弱势下行概率较高。操作上建议反弹做空为主、回调低多为辅，上方关注98.0-103.0美元阻力，下方关注85.0-80.0美元支撑。 #XAU/USD# #特朗普又发Twitter了#
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